Rubber future trend analysis
2024-04-02
The future is the rubber supply season, the production of concentrated release period, the situation is not optimistic.
It takes a long time to grind the bottom of the rubber, which may mean that the volatility of the disk surface will become very low over a longer period of time.
The frequent occurrence of trade wars and "double reverse" risk events in the peripheral market may have an impact on the trend of Shanghai glue, bringing risks and opportunities at the same time.
After the delivery of the 11 contract, you can consider making a little short at the integer mark and rebounding in stages.
Bulk internal reference: rubber inventories decreased by 23% during the 11th period, why will there be a sharp downward trend after the holidays? Gao Linlin: The sharp decline in bonded area inventories after the holidays is mainly due to two reasons: on the one hand, it is due to the statistical caliber, with 20,000 tons of areas zoned out. On the other hand, there are a lot of stock-out before the festival, which is the highest stock-out month at present. There is a demand for stock-out before the festival downstream, but most of them are cheap old glue with about 10,000 yuan. These two reasons led to the post-holiday bonded area appeared more obvious inventory down.
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